Barack Obama as the winner.
But not everybody decided. "We spent a whole bunch of time," Obama campaign manager Jim Messina said after the voting, "figuring out that American polling is busted." Now that the vote count is almost absolute with all but two states, New York and Hawaii, having particular their election results the full story emerge to fall anywhere in between.
While the public polls together predicted an Obama victory, they also inconspicuous Obama's margins, both countrywide and in a half-dozen battlefield states. And, perhaps more prominently, some polls told very dissimilar stories about how much voter partiality shifted over the final weeks of the crusade.
The average error for final week approximation of sustain for each applicant as intended by NCPP was faintly higher in national polls this year (1.4 percentage points) than in 2008 (0.9), 2004 (0.9) or 2000 (1.1), but was lesser than in 1996 (2.1), 1984 (2.4) or 1980 (3.1).